Evaluation of flood metrics across the Mississippi-Atchafalaya River Basin and their relation to flood damages

• Published in: PloS one 2024-10, Vol.19 (10), p.e0307486
• Main Authors: Schilling, Keith E, Anderson, Elliot S, Mount, Jerry, Suttles, Kelly, Gassman, Philip W, Cerkasova, Natalja, White, Michael J, Arnold, Jeffrey G
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Basins; Biology and Life Sciences; Climate Change; Climate models; Cold; Damage assessment; Drainage; Dry season; Earth Sciences; Ecology and Environmental Sciences; Environment; Environmental aspects; Environmental risk; Extreme values; Flood damage; Flood risk; Floods; Hydrologic models; Hydrology; Land use; Management; Mississippi; Models, Theoretical; Mountains; Natural disaster damage; Physical Sciences; Precipitation; Research and Analysis Methods; Risk assessment; Risk factors; River basins; Rivers; Social aspects; Social Sciences; Stream discharge; Stream flow; Streamflow; Topography; United States; Watersheds
• ISSN: 1932-6203; 1932-6203
• DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0307486

Societal risks from flooding are evident at a range of spatial scales and climate change will exacerbate these risks in the future. Assessing flood risks across broad geographical regions is a challenge, and often done using streamflow time-series records or hydrologic models. In this study, we used a national-scale hydrological model to identify, assess, and map 16 different streamflow metrics that could be used to describe flood risks across 34,987 HUC12 subwatersheds within the Mississippi-Atchafalaya River Basin (MARB). A clear spatial difference was observed among two different classes of metrics. Watersheds in the eastern half of the MARB exhibited higher overall flows as characterized by the mean, median, and maximum daily values, whereas western MARB watersheds were associated with flood indicative of high extreme flows such as skewness, standardized streamflow index and top days. Total agricultural and building losses within HUC12 watersheds were related to flood metrics and those focused on higher overall flows were more correlated to expected annual losses (EAL) than extreme value metrics. Results from this study are useful for identifying continental scale patterns of flood risks within the MARB and should be considered a launching point from which to improve the connections between watershed scale risks and the potential use of natural infrastructure practices to reduce these risks.