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Expected rate of fisheries-induced evolution is slow
Commercial fisheries exert high mortalities on the stocks they exploit, and the consequent selection pressure leads to fisheries-induced evolution of growth rate, age and size at maturation, and reproductive output. Productivity and yields may decline as a result, but little is known about the rate...
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Published in: | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS 2009-07, Vol.106 (28), p.11657-11660 |
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creator | Andersen, Ken H Brander, Keith |
description | Commercial fisheries exert high mortalities on the stocks they exploit, and the consequent selection pressure leads to fisheries-induced evolution of growth rate, age and size at maturation, and reproductive output. Productivity and yields may decline as a result, but little is known about the rate at which such changes are likely to occur. Fisheries-induced evolution of exploited populations has recently become a subject of concern for policy makers, fisheries managers, and the general public, with prominent calls for mitigating management action. We make a general evolutionary impact assessment of fisheries by calculating the expected rate of fisheries-induced evolution and the consequent changes in yield. Rates of evolution are expected to be [almost equal to]0.1-0.6% per year, and the consequent reductions in fisheries yield are |
doi_str_mv | 10.1073/pnas.0901690106 |
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Productivity and yields may decline as a result, but little is known about the rate at which such changes are likely to occur. Fisheries-induced evolution of exploited populations has recently become a subject of concern for policy makers, fisheries managers, and the general public, with prominent calls for mitigating management action. We make a general evolutionary impact assessment of fisheries by calculating the expected rate of fisheries-induced evolution and the consequent changes in yield. Rates of evolution are expected to be [almost equal to]0.1-0.6% per year, and the consequent reductions in fisheries yield are <0.7% per year. These rates are at least a factor of 5 lower than published values based on experiments and analyses of population time series, and we explain why the published rates may be overestimates. 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subjects | Animals Biological Evolution Biological Sciences Commercial fishing Ecological life histories Evolution Evolutionary biology Fish stocking Fisheries Fisheries - statistics & numerical data Fisheries management Fishes - genetics Gonads Marine fishes Models, Genetic Mortality Phenotypic traits Physical growth Selection response Selection, Genetic |
title | Expected rate of fisheries-induced evolution is slow |
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