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Discounted and Rapid Subfair Red-and-Black
A gambler seeks to maximize the expected utility earned upon reaching a goal in a game where he is allowed at each stage to stake any amount of his current fortune. He wins each bet with probability w. In the discounted case the utility at the goal is βnwhere β, the discount factor, is in (0, 1) and...
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Published in: | The Annals of statistics 1977-07, Vol.5 (4), p.734-745 |
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Main Author: | |
Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Subjects: | |
Citations: | Items that cite this one |
Online Access: | Get full text |
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Summary: | A gambler seeks to maximize the expected utility earned upon reaching a goal in a game where he is allowed at each stage to stake any amount of his current fortune. He wins each bet with probability w. In the discounted case the utility at the goal is βnwhere β, the discount factor, is in (0, 1) and n is the number of plays used to reach the goal. In the rapid case the utility at the goal is 1 and the gambler seeks to minimize his expected playing time given he reaches the goal. Here all optimal strategies are characterized when w ≤ 1/2 for the discounted case and when$w < \frac{1}{2}$for the rapid case. It is shown that when$w < \frac{1}{2}$the set of rapidly optimal strategies coincides with the set of optimal strategies for the discounted case. |
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ISSN: | 0090-5364 2168-8966 |
DOI: | 10.1214/aos/1176343896 |