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Does State Fiscal Relief During Recessions Increase Employment? Evidence from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act
The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009 included $88 billion of aid to state governments administered through the Medicaid reimbursement process. We examine the effect of these transfers on states' employment. Because state fiscal relief outlays are endogenous to a state'...
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Published in: | American economic journal. Economic policy 2012-08, Vol.4 (3), p.118-145 |
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creator | Chodorow-Reich, Gabriel Feiveson, Laura Liscow, Zachary Woolston, William Gui |
description | The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009 included $88 billion of aid to state governments administered through the Medicaid reimbursement process. We examine the effect of these transfers on states' employment. Because state fiscal relief outlays are endogenous to a state's economic environment, OLS results are biased downward. We address this problem by using a state's prerecession Medicaid spending level to instrument for ARRA state fiscal relief. In our preferred specification, a state's receipt of a marginal $100,000 in Medicaid outlays results in an additional 3.8 job-years, 3.2 of which are outside the government, health, and education sectors. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1257/pol.4.3.118 |
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Evidence from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act</title><author>Chodorow-Reich, Gabriel ; Feiveson, Laura ; Liscow, Zachary ; Woolston, William Gui</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c450t-d97ed307b16a6e8c8da6925c775788d74f7c1fba3594ecc005a41217dc9046833</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2012</creationdate><topic>American Recovery & Reinvestment Act 2009-US</topic><topic>Economic conditions</topic><topic>Economic models</topic><topic>Economic policy</topic><topic>Economic recessions</topic><topic>Economic statistics</topic><topic>Economic theory</topic><topic>Education</topic><topic>Employment</topic><topic>Expenditures</topic><topic>Federal budget</topic><topic>Government</topic><topic>Government spending</topic><topic>Health care policy</topic><topic>Local government</topic><topic>Medicaid</topic><topic>Outcome variables</topic><topic>Recessions</topic><topic>Reimbursement</topic><topic>Social policy</topic><topic>State budgets</topic><topic>Studies</topic><topic>Tax increases</topic><topic>Unemployment</topic><topic>United States federal budget</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Chodorow-Reich, Gabriel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Feiveson, Laura</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Liscow, Zachary</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Woolston, William Gui</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Social Sciences Premium Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Corporate)</collection><collection>PAIS Index</collection><collection>Access via ABI/INFORM (ProQuest)</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Global (PDF only)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Global (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni) (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central UK/Ireland</collection><collection>Social Science Premium Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>Business Premium Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest One Community College</collection><collection>PAIS International</collection><collection>PAIS International (Ovid)</collection><collection>Politics Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Korea</collection><collection>Business Premium Collection (Alumni)</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Global (Corporate)</collection><collection>ProQuest Business Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Business Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Politics Collection</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Professional Advanced</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Global</collection><collection>Political Science Database</collection><collection>ProQuest One Business</collection><collection>ProQuest One Business (Alumni)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Collection China</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Basic</collection><jtitle>American economic journal. 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Because state fiscal relief outlays are endogenous to a state's economic environment, OLS results are biased downward. We address this problem by using a state's prerecession Medicaid spending level to instrument for ARRA state fiscal relief. In our preferred specification, a state's receipt of a marginal $100,000 in Medicaid outlays results in an additional 3.8 job-years, 3.2 of which are outside the government, health, and education sectors.</abstract><pub>American Economic Association</pub><doi>10.1257/pol.4.3.118</doi><tpages>28</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | American Recovery & Reinvestment Act 2009-US Economic conditions Economic models Economic policy Economic recessions Economic statistics Economic theory Education Employment Expenditures Federal budget Government Government spending Health care policy Local government Medicaid Outcome variables Recessions Reimbursement Social policy State budgets Studies Tax increases Unemployment United States federal budget |
title | Does State Fiscal Relief During Recessions Increase Employment? Evidence from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act |
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