The Influence of Uncertainties in the Calculation of Mean Monthly Discharges On Reservoir Storage

The Influence of Uncertainties in the Calculation of Mean Monthly Discharges On Reservoir Storage In normal practice, during the estimation of reservoir storage uncertainties affecting the values of mean monthly discharge series are not normally considered, and usually no estimates of these are know...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics 2011-09, Vol.59 (4), p.228-237
Main Authors: Marton, Daniel, Starý, Milos, Mensík, Pavel
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
mean monthly discharge
monte carlo
monte carlo method
nejistoty
Normal distribution
Probability distribution
průměrný měsíční průtok
reservoir storage
Software
uncertainty
zásobní objem nádrže
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Summary:The Influence of Uncertainties in the Calculation of Mean Monthly Discharges On Reservoir Storage In normal practice, during the estimation of reservoir storage uncertainties affecting the values of mean monthly discharge series are not normally considered, and usually no estimates of these are known. Therefore, the question arises as to whether the results of the estimation of the capacity of storage reservoirs may be affected by uncertainties in the discharge series. The aim of this article is the suggestion of a possible approach to estimating the level of uncertainties affecting the elements of mean monthly discharge series. These discharge series are subsequently integrated into water reservoir storage capacity calculations, and the significance of the proposed approach is explored.
ISSN:0042-790X
1338-4333
DOI:10.2478/v10098-011-0019-3