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Anatomy of a Credit Crunch: From Capital to Labor Markets

Working Paper No. 19997 Why are financial crises associated with a sustained rise in unemployment? We develop a tractable model with frictions in both credit and labor markets to study the aggregate and micro-level implications of a credit crunch--i.e., a tightening of collateral constraints. When w...

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Published in:NBER Working Paper Series 2014-03, p.19997
Main Authors: Buera, Francisco J, Fattal-Jaef, Roberto, Shin, Yongseok
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:Working Paper No. 19997 Why are financial crises associated with a sustained rise in unemployment? We develop a tractable model with frictions in both credit and labor markets to study the aggregate and micro-level implications of a credit crunch--i.e., a tightening of collateral constraints. When we simulate a credit crunch calibrated to match the observed decline in the ratio of debt to non-financial assets of the United States business sector following the 2007-8 crisis, our model generates a sharp decline in output--explained by a drop in aggregate total factor productivity and investment--and a protracted increase in unemployment. We then explore the micro-level impact by tracking the employment dynamics for firms of different sizes and ages. The credit crunch causes a much larger reduction in the net employment growth rate of small, young establishments relative to that of large, old producers, consistent with the recent empirical findings in the literature.
ISSN:0898-2937
DOI:10.3386/w19997