Condorcet polling can yield serendipitous clues about voter views

Condorcet polling provides additional information about pairwise rankings often obscured in standard polls when there are three or more candidates. This paper analyzes an original dataset collected from Duke University students in North Carolina concerning the 2014 Senate race, wherein a Democrat, a...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Public choice 2015-10, Vol.165 (1/2), p.1-12
Main Authors: Potthoff, Richard F., Munger, Michael C.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Candidates
College students
Debates
Economic models
Economic statistics
Economic theory
Economics
Economics and Finance
Election results
Elections
Legislatures
Libertarianism
Political campaigns
Political economy
Political Science
Politics
Polls & surveys
Preferences
Presidential elections
Public Finance
Public opinion surveys
Race
Studies
Voter behavior
Voters
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Summary:Condorcet polling provides additional information about pairwise rankings often obscured in standard polls when there are three or more candidates. This paper analyzes an original dataset collected from Duke University students in North Carolina concerning the 2014 Senate race, wherein a Democrat, a Republican, and a Libertarian contested the election. The results illustrate that Condorcet polling is feasible in such a context, and that the information provided changes the strategic calculus of voters in ways that may have a positive impact on the way votes are cast and choices considered.
ISSN:0048-5829
1573-7101
DOI:10.1007/s11127-015-0285-4