Bird response to future climate and forest management focused on mitigating climate change

Context Global temperatures are projected to increase and affect forests and wildlife populations. Forest management can potentially mitigate climate-induced changes through promoting carbon sequestration, forest resilience, and facilitated change. Objectives We modeled direct and indirect effects o...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Landscape ecology 2017-07, Vol.32 (7), p.1433-1446
Main Authors: LeBrun, Jaymi J., Schneiderman, Jeffrey E., Thompson, Frank R., Dijak, William D., Fraser, Jacob S., He, Hong S., Millspaugh, Joshua J.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Abundance
Animal populations
Bayesian analysis
Biomedical and Life Sciences
Bird strike tests
Birds
Carbon
Carbon sequestration
Climate
Climate change
Climate change mitigation
Climate effects
Climate models
Computer simulation
Coniferous forests
Ecology
Environmental Management
Forest management
Global temperatures
Landscape
Landscape design
Landscape Ecology
Landscape/Regional and Urban Planning
Life Sciences
Mathematical models
Nature Conservation
Populations
Relative abundance
Research Article
Resilience
Summer
Sustainable Development
Vegetation
Wildlife
Wildlife management
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Summary:Context Global temperatures are projected to increase and affect forests and wildlife populations. Forest management can potentially mitigate climate-induced changes through promoting carbon sequestration, forest resilience, and facilitated change. Objectives We modeled direct and indirect effects of climate change on avian abundance through changes in forest landscapes and assessed impacts on bird abundances of forest management strategies designed to mitigate climate change effects. Methods We coupled a Bayesian hierarchical model with a spatially explicit landscape simulation model (LANDIS PRO) to predict avian relative abundance. We considered multiple climate scenarios and forest management scenarios focused on carbon sequestration, forest resilience, and facilitated change over 100 years. Results Management had a greater impact on avian abundance (almost 50% change under some scenarios) than climate (
ISSN:0921-2973
1572-9761
DOI:10.1007/s10980-016-0463-x