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Chaos Theory and Microeconomics: An Application to Model Specification and Hedonic Estimation

This paper is the first to apply the theory of deterministic chaos to a microeconomic problem. Previous applications of chaos theory to time series data, while successful in uncovering nonlinearities, have not provided guidelines for resolving uncovered misspecification problems. In contrast, we sho...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:The review of economics and statistics 1991-05, Vol.73 (2), p.208-215
Main Authors: Craig, Steven G., Kohlhase, Janet E., Papell, David H.
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:This paper is the first to apply the theory of deterministic chaos to a microeconomic problem. Previous applications of chaos theory to time series data, while successful in uncovering nonlinearities, have not provided guidelines for resolving uncovered misspecification problems. In contrast, we show that a modified test statistic from chaos theory is an extremely valuable tool in microeconomic model specification because it shows when excluded information is correlated with included information. This test, applied to hedonic estimation of marginal housing prices, is able to distinguish among alternative regression specifications and assists in discovering a parsimonious specification devoid of nonlinear effects.
ISSN:0034-6535
1530-9142
DOI:10.2307/2109510