Calibration of a Multi-criteria Evaluation Based Cellular Automata Model for Indian Cities Having Varied Growth Patterns

The study aims to investigate the efficiency of Cellular Automata (CA) based models for simulation of urban growth in two Indian cities (Dehradun and Saharanpur) having different growth patterns. The transition rules in the CA model were defined using Multi-Criteria Evaluation technique. The model w...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of the Indian Society of Remote Sensing 2018-02, Vol.46 (2), p.199-210
Main Author: Maithani, Sandeep
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Calibration
Cellular automata
Computer simulation
Criteria
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
Evaluation
Model accuracy
Remote Sensing/Photogrammetry
Research Article
Urban development
Urban sprawl
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Summary:The study aims to investigate the efficiency of Cellular Automata (CA) based models for simulation of urban growth in two Indian cities (Dehradun and Saharanpur) having different growth patterns. The transition rules in the CA model were defined using Multi-Criteria Evaluation technique. The model was calibrated by varying two parameters namely the neighbourhood (type and size) and model iterations. The model results were assessed using two measures, i.e., percent correct match and Moran’s Index. It was found that for Dehradun, which had a dispersed growth pattern, Von Neumann neighbourhood of small size produced the highest accuracy, in terms of pattern and location of simulated urban growth. For Saharanpur, which had a compact growth pattern, large neighbourhoods, produced the most optimum results, irrespective of the type of neighbourhood. For both study areas, large number of model iterations failed to increase the accuracy of urban growth assessment.
ISSN:0255-660X
0974-3006
DOI:10.1007/s12524-017-0681-y