The potential benefits of agricultural adaptation to warming in China in the long run

Understanding the extent to which agriculture can adapt to climate change and the determinants of farmers' adaptive capacity are of paramount importance from a policy perspective. Based on household survey data from a large sample in rural China, the present article adopts a panel approach to e...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Environment and development economics 2018-04, Vol.23 (2), p.139-160
Main Authors: Huang, Kaixing, Wang, Jinxia, Huang, Jikun, Findlay, Christopher
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Adaptation
Agricultural management
Agricultural production
Agriculture
Behavior
Climate adaptation
Climate change
Cost assessments
Damage
Determinants
Environmental impact
Extreme weather
Farm buildings
Farmers
Farms
Fluctuations
Food security
Funding
Greenhouse gases
Households
Infrastructure
Irrigation
Land use
Profits
Provinces
RESEARCH ARTICLE
Rural areas
Studies
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Summary:Understanding the extent to which agriculture can adapt to climate change and the determinants of farmers' adaptive capacity are of paramount importance from a policy perspective. Based on household survey data from a large sample in rural China, the present article adopts a panel approach to estimate the potential benefits of long-run adaptation and to identify the determinants of farmers' adaptive capacity. The empirical results suggest that, for various model settings and climate change scenarios, long-run adaptations should mitigate one-third to one-half of the damages of warming on crop profits by the end of this century. These findings support the basic argument of the hedonic approach that omitting long-run adaptations will dramatically overestimate the potential damage of climate change. The paper also finds that household-level capital intensity and farmland size have significant effects on farmers' adaptive capacities.
ISSN:1355-770X
1469-4395
DOI:10.1017/S1355770X17000390