Synoptic Control over Orographic Precipitation Distributions during the Olympics Mountains Experiment (OLYMPEX)

• Published in: Monthly weather review 2018-04, Vol.146 (4), p.1023-1044
• Main Authors: Purnell, David J., Kirshbaum, Daniel J.
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Climate; Computer simulation; Heavy precipitation; Moisture flux; Mountains; Numerical simulations; Orographic precipitation; Parameter sensitivity; Precipitation; Precipitation rate; Rain; Slope; Slopes; Static stability; Upstream; Vertical stability; Weather forecasting
• ISSN: 0027-0644; 1520-0493
• DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-17-0267.1

The synoptic controls on orographic precipitation during the Olympics Mountains Experiment (OLYMPEX) are investigated using observations and numerical simulations. Observational precipitation retrievals for six warm-frontal (WF), six warm-sector (WS), and six postfrontal (PF) periods indicate that heavy precipitation occurred in both WF and WS periods, but the latter saw larger orographic enhancements. Such enhancements extended well upstream of the terrain in WF periods but were focused over the windward slopes in both PF and WS periods. Quasi-idealized simulations, constrained by OLYMPEX data, reproduce the key synoptic sensitivities of the OLYMPEX precipitation distributions and thus facilitate physical interpretation. These sensitivities are largely explained by three upstream parameters: the large-scale precipitation rate [Formula: see text], the impinging horizontal moisture flux I, and the low-level static stability. Both WF and WS events exhibit large [Formula: see text] and I, and thus, heavy orographic precipitation, which is greatly enhanced in amplitude and areal extent by the seeder–feeder process. However, the stronger stability of the WF periods, particularly within the frontal inversion (even when it lies above crest level), causes their precipitation enhancement to weaken and shift upstream. In contrast, the small [Formula: see text] and I, larger static stability, and absence of stratiform feeder clouds in the nominally unsaturated and convective PF events yield much lighter time- and area-averaged precipitation. Modest enhancements still occur over the windward slopes due to the local development and invigoration of shallow convective showers.