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International Financial Integration and the Real Economy

What are the consequences offinancial integration for the real economy? This paper develops a set of theoretical benchmarks for the link between integration and macroeconomic volatility and welfare. The analysis is conducted in a standard two-sector international real business cycle model in which w...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:IMF staff papers 2007-06, Vol.54 (2), p.220-269
Main Authors: Evans, Martin D. D., Hnatkovska, Viktoria V.
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:What are the consequences offinancial integration for the real economy? This paper develops a set of theoretical benchmarks for the link between integration and macroeconomic volatility and welfare. The analysis is conducted in a standard two-sector international real business cycle model in which we introduce dynamic portfolio choice over equities and an international bond. The model predicts an increase in the volatility of output in response to integration, whereas the relationship between integration and consumption volatility is hump-shaped. We also find that financial integration is associated with significant improvement in risk-sharing across countries, although in aggregate the welfare benefits are very small. At the same time, the level of financial integration significantly affects how the welfare benefits of productivity shocks are distributed internationally.
ISSN:1020-7635
2041-4161
1564-5150
2041-417X
DOI:10.1057/palgrave.imfsp.9450011