Discussion—Differential Earnings Behavior and the Security Market Assessment of Variation in Seasonal Earnings Patterns

Soffer and Lys (1999) investigate the fraction of predictable positive serial autocorrelation in seasonally differenced earnings reflected in stock prices and find no appreciation of serial correlation immediately after quarterly earnings announcements. Bathke, Lorek, and Willinger (2004) reexamine...

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Published in:Journal of Accounting, Auditing & Finance Auditing & Finance, 2004-10, Vol.19 (4), p.483-489
Main Author: Thomas, Jacob K.
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Language:English
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Earnings announcements
Earnings forecasting
Securities markets
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description Soffer and Lys (1999) investigate the fraction of predictable positive serial autocorrelation in seasonally differenced earnings reflected in stock prices and find no appreciation of serial correlation immediately after quarterly earnings announcements. Bathke, Lorek, and Willinger (2004) reexamine this result by separating firms with earnings that appear to follow a seasonal random walk (good-fit firms) from the remainder (bad-fit firms). They find that the Soffer and Lys result of zero autocorrelation implied by stock prices represents the combination of a negative implied autocorrelation for good-fit firms and a positive implied autocorrelation for bad-fit firms. This discussion considers different interpretations of that finding.
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subjects Earnings announcements
Earnings forecasting
Securities markets
title Discussion—Differential Earnings Behavior and the Security Market Assessment of Variation in Seasonal Earnings Patterns
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