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Consistent Initial Curves for Interest Rate Models

The authors study the practical implications of imposing consistency in the choice of the initial curve for calibration of a Heath-Jarrow-Morton model. Consistency, simply stated, is that the initial curve should come from the class of forward rate curves that will be generated by the model at futur...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:The Journal of derivatives 2002-07, Vol.9 (4), p.8-17
Main Authors: Angelini, Flavio, Herzel, Stefano
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:The authors study the practical implications of imposing consistency in the choice of the initial curve for calibration of a Heath-Jarrow-Morton model. Consistency, simply stated, is that the initial curve should come from the class of forward rate curves that will be generated by the model at future dates. Analysis of both simulated and market data using the extended Vasicek model shows that the initial curve has a significant impact on the estimates of the parameters of the model. There is a family of curves that is consistent with the model that shows more stable estimates of market data, as well as better fitting and forecasting capabilities. [PUBLICATION ABSTRACT]
ISSN:1074-1240
2168-8524
DOI:10.3905/jod.2002.319182