Long-term energy strategy scenarios for South Korea: Transition to a sustainable energy system

This study aims to provide roadmaps for the sustainable development of South Korea's energy system. To this end, this study developed transition scenarios toward renewable energy for both supply and demand. We use “Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP)” Model and a backcasting a...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Energy policy 2019-04, Vol.127, p.425-437
Main Authors: Hong, Jong Ho, Kim, Jitae, Son, Wonik, Shin, Heeyoung, Kim, Nahyun, Lee, Woong Ki, Kim, Jintae
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Alternative energy
Alternative energy sources
Electricity consumption
Electricity generation
Energy consumption
Energy demand
Energy development
Energy policy
Energy scenarios
Energy security
Greenhouse effect
Greenhouse gases
LEAP
Renewable energy
Renewable resources
Security
Supply & demand
Sustainability
Sustainable development
Sustainable energy
Sustainable energy system
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Summary:This study aims to provide roadmaps for the sustainable development of South Korea's energy system. To this end, this study developed transition scenarios toward renewable energy for both supply and demand. We use “Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP)” Model and a backcasting approach to illustrate pathways to achieve the goals set forth in each of the scenarios. The four scenarios developed are Business-As-Usual (BAU), Moderate Transition Scenario (MTS), Advanced Transition Scenario (ATS), and Visionary Transition Scenario (VTS). The scenarios are defined according to the differences in the level of final energy consumption and renewable energy share by 2050. Analysis shows an increase in the percentage of renewable energy and a decrease in energy demand lead to improved energy security, more jobs in the electricity generation sector, and a decrease in greenhouse gas emissions. The pathways represented by these scenarios can be regarded as strategic targets for the sustainable development of South Korea's energy system. A set of comprehensive and long-term policies will be needed to attain the goals set forth in the scenarios. •This paper proposes three scenarios for South Korea's sustainable energy transition.•This study developed transition scenarios toward renewable energy for both supply and demand.•Transition pathways were modelled using LEAP up to the year 2050.•The alternative scenarios show a more successful transition than the BAU scenario.
ISSN:0301-4215
1873-6777
DOI:10.1016/j.enpol.2018.11.055