Imperfect Information in Pre-choice Screening of Options

• Published in: Organizational behavior and human decision processes 1994-08, Vol.59 (2), p.313-329
• Main Authors: Potter, Richard B., Beach, Lee Roy
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Biological and medical sciences; Choices; Cognition. Intelligence; Decision making; Decision making. Choice; Decision theory; Expected utility; Experiments; Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology; Mathematical models; Psychology. Psychoanalysis. Psychiatry; Psychology. Psychophysiology
• ISSN: 0749-5978; 1095-9920
• DOI: 10.1006/obhd.1994.1062

Three experiments examined decision makers′ use of imperfect information in screening of decision options. It was found that: (1) when specific information about options was missing the absence was treated as a violation of the related decision criterion in the manner described by image theory (Beach, 1990; Beach & Mitchell, 1987) - rejection of options was a function of both the number of violations and the amount of missing information; (2) general paucity of information about options prompted rejection over and above the effects of violations, but paucity had about half the impact of violations or of missing information; (3) information about the probability that an option′s outcomes actually will occur were it the final choice was integrated additively with other information in screening, as predicted by image theory, and was integrated multiplicatively with other information in choice, as predicted by expected utility theory. Together with the results of previous research, these results support the image theory view of decision making as a two-stage process, screening followed by choice, and demonstrate once again the pivotal role of screening in this process.