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Dutch book rationality conditions for conditional preferences under ambiguity
We study preference relations on conditional gambles of a decision maker acting under ambiguity. Dutch book rationality conditions are provided under a linear utility scale, encoding either an optimistic or a pessimistic attitude towards uncertainty. These conditions characterize possibly incomplete...
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Published in: | Annals of operations research 2019-08, Vol.279 (1-2), p.115-150 |
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container_title | Annals of operations research |
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creator | Coletti, Giulianella Petturiti, Davide Vantaggi, Barbara |
description | We study preference relations on conditional gambles of a decision maker acting under ambiguity. Dutch book rationality conditions are provided under a linear utility scale, encoding either an optimistic or a pessimistic attitude towards uncertainty. These conditions characterize possibly incomplete preferences representable by totally alternating or monotone conditional functionals. In general, the uniqueness of the representation is not guaranteed, but it can be obtained by adding the hypothesis of existence of a conditional fair price for every conditional gamble. The given rationality conditions have a betting scheme interpretation relying on “penalty fees” for betting on strict preference comparisons. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1007/s10479-019-03299-8 |
format | article |
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subjects | Ambiguity Analysis Business and Management Choice (Psychology) Combinatorics Decision making Gambling Operations research Operations Research/Decision Theory Original Research Preferences Psychological aspects Rationality Theory of Computation |
title | Dutch book rationality conditions for conditional preferences under ambiguity |
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