Countering Boko Haram’s Violence: A Deterrence–Backlash Perspective

This article examines efforts to counter Boko Haram’s campaign of terrorism in Northern Nigeria from a deterrence–backlash perspective. Drawing from previous research, the authors develop hypothetical expectations for deterrence and backlash effects when counterterrorism policies are conducted at go...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Armed forces and society 2019-10, Vol.45 (4), p.723-745
Main Authors: Dulin, Adam, Patiño, Jairo
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Campaigns
Conflict resolution
Counterterrorism
Deterrence
Expectations
Military effectiveness
Survival analysis
Terrorism
Violence
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Summary:This article examines efforts to counter Boko Haram’s campaign of terrorism in Northern Nigeria from a deterrence–backlash perspective. Drawing from previous research, the authors develop hypothetical expectations for deterrence and backlash effects when counterterrorism policies are conducted at governmental and community levels. Using parametric survival analysis, the authors conclude that government policies designed to curb Boko Haram attacks resulted in backlash. Conversely, community-based efforts resulted in deterrence.
ISSN:0095-327X
1556-0848
DOI:10.1177/0095327X18756284