COVID‐19 Policy Modeling in Sub‐Saharan Africa

After an initial delay, Sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA) is being hit by the pandemic. Demand for exports is falling and caseloads are rising. Governments have approached this crisis with a range of policy options. Optimal policy balances reduced infection rates with lost economic output. This paper discuss...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy 2021-03, Vol.43 (1), p.24-38
Main Authors: Mueller, Valerie, Sheriff, Glenn, Keeler, Corinna, Jehn, Megan
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
COVID-19
Economics
Epidemic models
Epidemiology
Health policy
I15
I18
J17
Pandemics
Policy research
Poverty
Sub‐Saharan Africa
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Summary:After an initial delay, Sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA) is being hit by the pandemic. Demand for exports is falling and caseloads are rising. Governments have approached this crisis with a range of policy options. Optimal policy balances reduced infection rates with lost economic output. This paper discusses how an economic‐epidemiological model used to analyze policy in high‐income countries could be adapted to a context where poverty considerations are paramount. Differences in country characteristics across the continent affect benefits and costs of alternative policy designs. We conclude by highlighting data needs and model calibration challenges for COVID‐19 policy research in SSA.
ISSN:2040-5790
2040-5804
DOI:10.1002/aepp.13078