Wildfire Exposure Increases Pro-Environment Voting within Democratic but Not Republican Areas

One political barrier to climate reforms is the temporal mismatch between short-term policy costs and long-term policy benefits. Will public support for climate reforms increase as climate-related disasters make the short-term costs of inaction more salient? Leveraging variation in the timing of Cal...

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Published in:The American political science review 2020-11, Vol.114 (4), p.1359-1365
Main Authors: HAZLETT, CHAD, MILDENBERGER, MATTO
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Attitudes
Beliefs
Censuses
Climate
Climate change
Climate policy
Elections
Environmental policy
Feedback (Response)
Initiatives
Landsat satellites
Political behavior
Political science
Politics
Referendums
Voter behavior
Voters
Voting
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description One political barrier to climate reforms is the temporal mismatch between short-term policy costs and long-term policy benefits. Will public support for climate reforms increase as climate-related disasters make the short-term costs of inaction more salient? Leveraging variation in the timing of Californian wildfires, we evaluate how exposure to a climate-related hazard influences political behavior rather than self-reported attitudes or behavioral intentions. We show that wildfires increased support for costly, climate-related ballot measures by 5 to 6 percentage points for those living within 5 kilometers of a recent wildfire, decaying to near zero beyond a distance of 15 kilometers. This effect is concentrated in Democratic-voting areas, and it is nearly zero in Republican-dominated areas. We conclude that experienced climate threats can enhance willingness-to-act but largely in places where voters are known to believe in climate change.
doi_str_mv 10.1017/S0003055420000441
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source International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS); ABI/INFORM Global (ProQuest); Social Science Premium Collection; Politics Collection; Worldwide Political Science Abstracts; Cambridge University Press; Education Collection
subjects Attitudes
Beliefs
Censuses
Climate
Climate change
Climate policy
Elections
Environmental policy
Feedback (Response)
Initiatives
Landsat satellites
Political behavior
Political science
Politics
Referendums
Voter behavior
Voters
Voting
title Wildfire Exposure Increases Pro-Environment Voting within Democratic but Not Republican Areas
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