Sustainable resource management in a supply chain: a methodological proposal combining zero-inflated fuzzy time series and clustering techniques

• Published in: Journal of enterprise information management 2020-12, Vol.33 (5), p.1059-1076
• Main Authors: Ewbank, Henrique, Frutuoso Roveda, José Arnaldo, Monteiro Masalskiene Roveda, Sandra Regina, Ribeiro, Admilson ĺrio, Bressane, Adriano, Hadi-Vencheh, Abdollah, Wanke, Peter
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Accuracy; Capital expenditures; Clustering; Consumption; Decision making; Demand analysis; Economic forecasting; Environmental impact; Forecasting; Fuzzy logic; Fuzzy sets; Inventory; Linguistics; Resource management; Suppliers; Supply chains; Sustainability; Time series
• ISSN: 1741-0398; 1758-7409
• DOI: 10.1108/JEIM-09-2019-0289

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to analyze demand forecast strategies to support a more sustainable management in a pallet supply chain, and thus avoid environmental impacts, such as reducing the consumption of forest resources.Design/methodology/approachSince the producer presents several uncertainties regarding its demand logs, a methodology that embed zero-inflated intelligence is proposed combining fuzzy time series with clustering techniques, in order to deal with an excessive count of zeros.FindingsA comparison with other models from literature is performed. As a result, the strategy that considered at the same time the excess of zeros and low demands provided the best performance, and thus it can be considered a promising approach, particularly for sustainable supply chains where resources consumption is significant and exist a huge variation in demand over time.Originality/valueThe findings of the study contribute to the knowledge of the managers and policymakers in achieving sustainable supply chain management. The results provide the important concepts regarding the sustainability of supply chain using fuzzy time series and clustering techniques.