Traumatic and Nontraumatic Driving Accidents Due to Dry Spells in Northern Iran: A Time Series Analysis

Driving in rain is very dangerous, and drivers seem not to drive properly whenever it rains. In such situations, the risk of driving increases on rainy days, especially after a prolonged dry period. This would be a problem for drivers steering on slippery roads. In this study, the effect of dry spel...

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Published in:Weather, climate, and society climate, and society, 2018-10, Vol.10 (4), p.723-730
Main Authors: Rad, Enayatollah Homaie, Yousefzadeh-Chabok, Shahrokh, Mohtasham-Amiri, Zahra, Khodadadi-Hasankiadeh, Naeima, Davoudi-Kiakalayeh, Ali, Kouchakinezhad-Eramsadati, Leila, Reihanian, Anita
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Accidents
Driving
Driving ability
Dry spells
Fatalities
Injuries
Investigations
Mortality
Precipitation
Rain
Roads
Roads & highways
Standard deviation
Steering
Time series
Traffic accidents
Traffic accidents & safety
Traffic flow
Variables
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Summary:Driving in rain is very dangerous, and drivers seem not to drive properly whenever it rains. In such situations, the risk of driving increases on rainy days, especially after a prolonged dry period. This would be a problem for drivers steering on slippery roads. In this study, the effect of dry spells on road traffic accidents and resulting mortality in Rasht, Iran, located in the southern margin of the Caspian Sea, in a 3-yr period from 21 March 2014 to 19 March 2017 was examined using time series patterns. The results of the study showed that the first day after a dry spell had the greatest impact on road accidents and resulting injuries and deaths. It was also found that with increased length of a dry spell, the risk of accidents and related deaths and injuries rises.
ISSN:1948-8327
1948-8335
DOI:10.1175/WCAS-D-17-0102.1