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Reliability assessment of existing transmission line towers considering mechanical model uncertainties

•Nonlinear bolt slippage effect is included in mechanical model.•Two Brazilian TLTs are investigated in different levels of modeling complexity.•Collapse of TLTs considering non-linearities, including bolt slippage.•Failure probability can be higher than expected due to model uncertainties.•Mechanic...

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Published in:Engineering structures 2021-06, Vol.237, p.112016, Article 112016
Main Authors: de Souza, Rafael Rodrigues, Miguel, Leandro Fleck Fadel, McClure, Ghyslaine, Alminhana, Fábio, Kaminski Jr, João
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Miguel, Leandro Fleck Fadel
McClure, Ghyslaine
Alminhana, Fábio
Kaminski Jr, João
description •Nonlinear bolt slippage effect is included in mechanical model.•Two Brazilian TLTs are investigated in different levels of modeling complexity.•Collapse of TLTs considering non-linearities, including bolt slippage.•Failure probability can be higher than expected due to model uncertainties.•Mechanical model uncertainties, although it can be mitigated through proper design. Reliability assessment of transmission line towers (TLTs) becomes particularly important in the context of the growing demand for increasing the energy transport capacity of existing lines. However, a comprehensive literature survey in this field reveals that important discrepancies may exist between the original design model analysis results and the actual lattice steel tower behavior. For instance, it has been demonstrated (Kaminski-Jr, 2007; CIGRE, 2009; Souza et al., 2019, 2020) that bolt slippage effects, which are disregarded in the current industrial practice, is importantly impacted by the tower topology that is defined by the tower engineer based on experience. Therefore, because several existing structures have topologies prone to connections’ slippage, they may be operating with a lower reliability when compared to modern recommended values. Within this context, the main goal of this paper is to assess the structural reliability of existing TLTs considering mechanical model uncertainties induced by connection details. For this purpose, the failure probability of two real TLTs built in Brazil are investigated employing different levels of structural modeling complexity. The first tower was designed 40 years ago and, several TLs operating in Brazil have adopted a similar design. The second is a newer structure, designed 15 years ago. In addition, to better understand the impact on the results when following the classical design procedure, the progressive collapse of both TLTs is modelled through a full material and geometric nonlinear analysis with and without the consideration of bolt-slippage effects. The results show that the older tower design, which presents a topology highly impacted by bolt slippage, is associated with a lower reliability than the current target values.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.engstruct.2021.112016
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Reliability assessment of transmission line towers (TLTs) becomes particularly important in the context of the growing demand for increasing the energy transport capacity of existing lines. However, a comprehensive literature survey in this field reveals that important discrepancies may exist between the original design model analysis results and the actual lattice steel tower behavior. For instance, it has been demonstrated (Kaminski-Jr, 2007; CIGRE, 2009; Souza et al., 2019, 2020) that bolt slippage effects, which are disregarded in the current industrial practice, is importantly impacted by the tower topology that is defined by the tower engineer based on experience. Therefore, because several existing structures have topologies prone to connections’ slippage, they may be operating with a lower reliability when compared to modern recommended values. Within this context, the main goal of this paper is to assess the structural reliability of existing TLTs considering mechanical model uncertainties induced by connection details. For this purpose, the failure probability of two real TLTs built in Brazil are investigated employing different levels of structural modeling complexity. The first tower was designed 40 years ago and, several TLs operating in Brazil have adopted a similar design. The second is a newer structure, designed 15 years ago. In addition, to better understand the impact on the results when following the classical design procedure, the progressive collapse of both TLTs is modelled through a full material and geometric nonlinear analysis with and without the consideration of bolt-slippage effects. 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Reliability assessment of transmission line towers (TLTs) becomes particularly important in the context of the growing demand for increasing the energy transport capacity of existing lines. However, a comprehensive literature survey in this field reveals that important discrepancies may exist between the original design model analysis results and the actual lattice steel tower behavior. For instance, it has been demonstrated (Kaminski-Jr, 2007; CIGRE, 2009; Souza et al., 2019, 2020) that bolt slippage effects, which are disregarded in the current industrial practice, is importantly impacted by the tower topology that is defined by the tower engineer based on experience. Therefore, because several existing structures have topologies prone to connections’ slippage, they may be operating with a lower reliability when compared to modern recommended values. Within this context, the main goal of this paper is to assess the structural reliability of existing TLTs considering mechanical model uncertainties induced by connection details. For this purpose, the failure probability of two real TLTs built in Brazil are investigated employing different levels of structural modeling complexity. The first tower was designed 40 years ago and, several TLs operating in Brazil have adopted a similar design. The second is a newer structure, designed 15 years ago. In addition, to better understand the impact on the results when following the classical design procedure, the progressive collapse of both TLTs is modelled through a full material and geometric nonlinear analysis with and without the consideration of bolt-slippage effects. The results show that the older tower design, which presents a topology highly impacted by bolt slippage, is associated with a lower reliability than the current target values.</description><subject>Catastrophic collapse</subject><subject>Context</subject><subject>Design</subject><subject>Literature reviews</subject><subject>Model uncertainty</subject><subject>Nonlinear analysis</subject><subject>Reliability analysis</subject><subject>Reliability assessment</subject><subject>Reliability engineering</subject><subject>Steel structures</subject><subject>Structural reliability</subject><subject>Topology</subject><subject>Transmission line tower</subject><subject>Transmission lines</subject><subject>Transmission towers</subject><subject>Uncertainty</subject><issn>0141-0296</issn><issn>1873-7323</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2021</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNqFkFuLFDEQhYMoOK7-BgM-91i5TE_6cVm8wYKwrM8hk66sNXQnayqj7r83w4ivPhVUnXOK8wnxVsFWgRrfH7eYH7jVU2xbDVptldJ9_0xslNubYW-0eS42oKwaQE_jS_GK-QgA2jnYiHSHC4UDLdSeZGBG5hVzkyVJ_E3cKD_IVkPmlZipZLlQRtnKL6wsY8lMM9azaMX4PWSKYZFrmXGRpxyxtkC5EfJr8SKFhfHN33klvn38cH_zebj9-unLzfXtEI01bVBpSlZNRu-1VXG2vc50mGACF92YnAWrEMcAeo4mWesU9OuMu0Nyo7EOzJV4d8l9rOXHCbn5YznV3F96vTPTZMG4XVftL6pYC3PF5B8rraE-eQX-DNUf_T-o_gzVX6B25_XFib3ET8LqORL2pjNV7Nq50H8z_gBxG4Y8</recordid><startdate>20210615</startdate><enddate>20210615</enddate><creator>de Souza, Rafael Rodrigues</creator><creator>Miguel, Leandro Fleck Fadel</creator><creator>McClure, Ghyslaine</creator><creator>Alminhana, Fábio</creator><creator>Kaminski Jr, João</creator><general>Elsevier Ltd</general><general>Elsevier BV</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7SR</scope><scope>7ST</scope><scope>8BQ</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>JG9</scope><scope>KR7</scope><scope>SOI</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20210615</creationdate><title>Reliability assessment of existing transmission line towers considering mechanical model uncertainties</title><author>de Souza, Rafael Rodrigues ; Miguel, Leandro Fleck Fadel ; McClure, Ghyslaine ; Alminhana, Fábio ; Kaminski Jr, João</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c343t-1f9f419327241cd40219b90908c86f84041ee6a02dc3f44810b90de5bf8634803</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2021</creationdate><topic>Catastrophic collapse</topic><topic>Context</topic><topic>Design</topic><topic>Literature reviews</topic><topic>Model uncertainty</topic><topic>Nonlinear analysis</topic><topic>Reliability analysis</topic><topic>Reliability assessment</topic><topic>Reliability engineering</topic><topic>Steel structures</topic><topic>Structural reliability</topic><topic>Topology</topic><topic>Transmission line tower</topic><topic>Transmission lines</topic><topic>Transmission towers</topic><topic>Uncertainty</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>de Souza, Rafael Rodrigues</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Miguel, Leandro Fleck Fadel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>McClure, Ghyslaine</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Alminhana, Fábio</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kaminski Jr, João</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Engineered Materials Abstracts</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><collection>METADEX</collection><collection>Technology Research Database</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>Engineering Research Database</collection><collection>Materials Research Database</collection><collection>Civil Engineering Abstracts</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><jtitle>Engineering structures</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>de Souza, Rafael Rodrigues</au><au>Miguel, Leandro Fleck Fadel</au><au>McClure, Ghyslaine</au><au>Alminhana, Fábio</au><au>Kaminski Jr, João</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Reliability assessment of existing transmission line towers considering mechanical model uncertainties</atitle><jtitle>Engineering structures</jtitle><date>2021-06-15</date><risdate>2021</risdate><volume>237</volume><spage>112016</spage><pages>112016-</pages><artnum>112016</artnum><issn>0141-0296</issn><eissn>1873-7323</eissn><abstract>•Nonlinear bolt slippage effect is included in mechanical model.•Two Brazilian TLTs are investigated in different levels of modeling complexity.•Collapse of TLTs considering non-linearities, including bolt slippage.•Failure probability can be higher than expected due to model uncertainties.•Mechanical model uncertainties, although it can be mitigated through proper design. Reliability assessment of transmission line towers (TLTs) becomes particularly important in the context of the growing demand for increasing the energy transport capacity of existing lines. However, a comprehensive literature survey in this field reveals that important discrepancies may exist between the original design model analysis results and the actual lattice steel tower behavior. For instance, it has been demonstrated (Kaminski-Jr, 2007; CIGRE, 2009; Souza et al., 2019, 2020) that bolt slippage effects, which are disregarded in the current industrial practice, is importantly impacted by the tower topology that is defined by the tower engineer based on experience. Therefore, because several existing structures have topologies prone to connections’ slippage, they may be operating with a lower reliability when compared to modern recommended values. Within this context, the main goal of this paper is to assess the structural reliability of existing TLTs considering mechanical model uncertainties induced by connection details. For this purpose, the failure probability of two real TLTs built in Brazil are investigated employing different levels of structural modeling complexity. The first tower was designed 40 years ago and, several TLs operating in Brazil have adopted a similar design. The second is a newer structure, designed 15 years ago. In addition, to better understand the impact on the results when following the classical design procedure, the progressive collapse of both TLTs is modelled through a full material and geometric nonlinear analysis with and without the consideration of bolt-slippage effects. 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subjects Catastrophic collapse
Context
Design
Literature reviews
Model uncertainty
Nonlinear analysis
Reliability analysis
Reliability assessment
Reliability engineering
Steel structures
Structural reliability
Topology
Transmission line tower
Transmission lines
Transmission towers
Uncertainty
title Reliability assessment of existing transmission line towers considering mechanical model uncertainties
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