A review of global-local-global linkages in economic land-use/cover change models

Global change drivers of land-use/cover change (LUCC) like population dynamics, economic development, and climate change are increasingly important to local sustainability studies, and can only be properly analyzed at fine-scales that capture local biophysical and socio-economic conditions. When suf...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Environmental research letters 2019-05, Vol.14 (5), p.53003
Main Authors: Hertel, Thomas W, West, Thales A P, Börner, Jan, Villoria, Nelson B
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Climate change
Economic analysis
Economic conditions
Economic development
Economic models
Feedback
global change drivers
Land use
land use change
leakage
local sustainability
Modelling
Socioeconomics
spillovers
Sustainability
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Summary:Global change drivers of land-use/cover change (LUCC) like population dynamics, economic development, and climate change are increasingly important to local sustainability studies, and can only be properly analyzed at fine-scales that capture local biophysical and socio-economic conditions. When sufficiently widespread, local feedback to stresses originating from global drivers can have regional, national, and even global impacts. A multiscale, global-to-local-to-global (GLG) framework is thus needed for comprehensive analyses of LUCC and leakage. The number of GLG-LUCC studies has grown substantially over the past years, but no reviews of this literature and their contributions have been completed so far. In fact, the largest body of literature pertains to global-to-local impacts exclusively, whereas research on local feedback to regional, national, and global spheres remain scarce, and are almost solely undertaken within large modeling institutes. As such, those are rarely readily accessible for modification and extension by outside contributors. This review of the recent GLG-LUCC studies calls for more open-source modeling and availability of data, arguing that the latter is the real constraint to more widespread analyses of GLG-LUCC impacts. Progress in this field will require contributions from hundreds of researchers around the world and from a wide variety of disciplines.
ISSN:1748-9326
1748-9326
DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/ab0d33