Technology Foresight Model Based on Fuzzy Logic

A technology foresight model is developed, where the criticality limits of technologies are not determined by an expert, but are calculated on the basis of proposed equidistant points. The paper shows the influence of the use of different membership functions on the criticality assessment. A compari...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Cybernetics and systems analysis 2021-11, Vol.57 (6), p.978-989
Main Authors: Kupchyn, A., Komarov, V., Borokhvostov, I., Kuprinenko, A., Sotnyk, V., Bilokur, M., Oleksiiuk, V.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Analysis
Artificial Intelligence
Control
Fuzzy algorithms
Fuzzy logic
Fuzzy systems
Mathematics
Mathematics and Statistics
Processor Architectures
Software Engineering/Programming and Operating Systems
Systems Theory
Technological forecasting
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Summary:A technology foresight model is developed, where the criticality limits of technologies are not determined by an expert, but are calculated on the basis of proposed equidistant points. The paper shows the influence of the use of different membership functions on the criticality assessment. A comparison with the existing technology foresight method is made.
ISSN:1060-0396
1573-8337
DOI:10.1007/s10559-021-00423-0