Scenario planning tools for mitigating industrial impacts on First Nations subsistence economies in British Columbia, Canada

The Montney Play Trend (MPT) is a 1090 km 2 region in northeast British Columbia that produces approximately one-third of western Canada’s natural gas output. In response to a proposed expansion of the MPT in 2016, the Government of British Columbia launched a Regional Strategic Environmental Assess...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Sustainability science 2022-03, Vol.17 (2), p.469-484
Main Authors: Natcher, David, Owens-Beek, Naomi, Bogdan, Ana-Maria, Lu, Xiaojing, Li, Meng, Ingram, Shawn, McKay, Ryan, Rice, Abigael
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Climate Change Management and Policy
Earth and Environmental Science
Environment
Environmental assessment
Environmental Economics
Environmental Management
Gas pipelines
Gas transmission
Landscape Ecology
Native North Americans
Natural gas
Public Health
Regional analysis
Special Feature: Innovative Partnerships and Methods for Knowledge Co-Production to Support Indigenous Cultural and Environmental Management
Special Feature: Original Article
Sustainable Development
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Summary:The Montney Play Trend (MPT) is a 1090 km 2 region in northeast British Columbia that produces approximately one-third of western Canada’s natural gas output. In response to a proposed expansion of the MPT in 2016, the Government of British Columbia launched a Regional Strategic Environmental Assessment (RSEA) to identify the necessary conditions to achieve sustainable environmental outcomes. In this paper, we describe the methods and scenario planning tools that were developed to estimate how the development of the MPT might affect the subsistence economies of First Nations in the region. To demonstrate the utility of our approach, two impact assessments—Prince Rupert gas transmission pipeline and the Coastal GasLink pipeline—are presented. While no scenario can provide a definitive portrayal of exactly what will happen in the future, the tools that were co-developed are serving as an effective starting point for exploring possibilities that are at least consistent with current knowledge and can serve as a platform for collaborative learning and conflict management.
ISSN:1862-4065
1862-4057
DOI:10.1007/s11625-021-00969-0