Possible Climate Change in Russia in the 21st Century Based on the INM-CM5-0 Climate Model

Possible climate changes in Russia during the 21st century are considered based on the INM-CM5-0 climate model. According to the SSP3-7.0 scenario, the warming by 5–8°C in winter and by 3–4.5°C in summer are expected in Russia at the end of the 21st century. Minimum annual temperatures will rise fas...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Russian meteorology and hydrology 2022-05, Vol.47 (5), p.327-333
Main Author: Volodin, E. M.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Annual temperatures
Atmospheric Sciences
Climate change
Climate models
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
Heavy precipitation
Meteorology
Moisture effects
Precipitation
River discharge
River flow
River runoff
Runoff
Soil moisture
Summer
Winter
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Summary:Possible climate changes in Russia during the 21st century are considered based on the INM-CM5-0 climate model. According to the SSP3-7.0 scenario, the warming by 5–8°C in winter and by 3–4.5°C in summer are expected in Russia at the end of the 21st century. Minimum annual temperatures will rise faster than winter mean ones. Maximum annual temperatures will rise faster that summer mean ones. An increase in precipitation will occur across Russia in winter, while its decrease is expected in southern and central European Russia and in the south of Western Siberia in summer. The contribution of light precipitation will decrease, while the contribution of heavy and very heavy precipitation will increase. An increase in annual mean river runoff and a decrease in upper soil moisture in summer are expected nearly everywhere in Russia.
ISSN:1068-3739
1934-8096
DOI:10.3103/S1068373922050016