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Climate Extremes and Variability Surrounding Chesapeake Bay: Past, Present, and Future

Measures of extreme climate variability around Chesapeake Bay have changed over the past century (1895–2014), resulting in the need to establish new baselines for understanding future change. Here, observed climate variability is compared with Coupled Model Intercomparison Project fifth assessment c...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of the American Water Resources Association 2022-12, Vol.58 (6), p.826-854
Main Authors: St.Laurent, Kari A., Coles, Victoria J., Hood, Raleigh R.
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:Measures of extreme climate variability around Chesapeake Bay have changed over the past century (1895–2014), resulting in the need to establish new baselines for understanding future change. Here, observed climate variability is compared with Coupled Model Intercomparison Project fifth assessment climate models to evaluate ensemble model skill in this region. Observed trends include annual and seasonal declines in the percentage of cold days. Similarly, increases in the annual and seasonal percentages of warm days occurred in all seasons of the North Chesapeake (>38.2°N) but were only significant in spring and summer in the South (
ISSN:1093-474X
1752-1688
DOI:10.1111/1752-1688.12945