Climate Extremes and Variability Surrounding Chesapeake Bay: Past, Present, and Future

Measures of extreme climate variability around Chesapeake Bay have changed over the past century (1895–2014), resulting in the need to establish new baselines for understanding future change. Here, observed climate variability is compared with Coupled Model Intercomparison Project fifth assessment c...

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Published in:Journal of the American Water Resources Association 2022-12, Vol.58 (6), p.826-854
Main Authors: St.Laurent, Kari A., Coles, Victoria J., Hood, Raleigh R.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Chesapeake Bay
Climate
climate extreme change
Climate models
Climate variability
Emissions
Environmental assessment
Intercomparison
National Estuarine Research Reserve System
Precipitation
Rainfall intensity
Seasons
Trends
Variability
Weather patterns
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description Measures of extreme climate variability around Chesapeake Bay have changed over the past century (1895–2014), resulting in the need to establish new baselines for understanding future change. Here, observed climate variability is compared with Coupled Model Intercomparison Project fifth assessment climate models to evaluate ensemble model skill in this region. Observed trends include annual and seasonal declines in the percentage of cold days. Similarly, increases in the annual and seasonal percentages of warm days occurred in all seasons of the North Chesapeake (>38.2°N) but were only significant in spring and summer in the South (
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source Wiley-Blackwell Read & Publish Collection
subjects Chesapeake Bay
Climate
climate extreme change
Climate models
Climate variability
Emissions
Environmental assessment
Intercomparison
National Estuarine Research Reserve System
Precipitation
Rainfall intensity
Seasons
Trends
Variability
Weather patterns
title Climate Extremes and Variability Surrounding Chesapeake Bay: Past, Present, and Future
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