Exact Modeling of Non-Gaussian Measurement Uncertainty in Distribution System State Estimation

• Published in: arXiv.org 2023-03
• Main Authors: Vanin, Marta, Tom Van Acker, D'hulst, Reinhilde, Dirk Van Hertem
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Flow equations; Low voltage; Maximum likelihood estimation; Networks; Optimization; Power flow; State estimation; Uncertainty
• ISSN: 2331-8422

State estimation allows to monitor power networks, exploiting field measurements to derive the most likely grid state. In the literature, measurement errors are usually assumed to follow zero-mean Gaussian distributions; however, it has been shown that this assumption often does not hold. One such example is when considering pseudo-measurements. In distribution networks, a significant amount of pseudo-measurements might be necessary, due to the scarcity of real-time measurements. In this paper, a state estimator is presented which allows to model measurement uncertainty with any continuous distribution, without approximations. This becomes possible by writing state estimation as a general maximum-likelihood estimation-based constrained optimization problem. To realistically describe distribution networks, three-phase unbalanced power flow equations are used. Results are presented that illustrate the differences in accuracy and computational effort between different uncertainty modeling methods, for the IEEE European Low Voltage Test Feeder.