Controls on Saturated Hydraulic Conductivity in a Degrading Permafrost Peatland Complex

• Published in: Water resources research 2023-10, Vol.59 (10), p.n/a
• Main Authors: Fewster, Richard E., Morris, Paul J., Swindles, Graeme T., Baird, Andy J., Turner, T. Edward, Ivanovic, Ruza F.
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Bulk density; Climate change; Collapse; Collinearity; Global warming; Humification; Hydraulic conductivity; Hydraulic properties; Hydraulics; Mires; Modelling; palsa; Palsas; Peat; Peatlands; pedotransfer function; Performance prediction; Permafrost; Properties; Soil degradation; Species composition; Vegetation; von post score; Water resources
• ISSN: 0043-1397; 1944-7973
• DOI: 10.1029/2023WR035398

Permafrost peatlands are vulnerable to rapid structural changes under climatic warming, including vertical collapse. Peatland water budgets, and therefore peat hydraulic properties, are important determinants of vegetation and carbon fluxes. Measurements of hydraulic properties exist for only a limited number of permafrost peatland locations, primarily concentrated in North America. The impacts of thaw‐induced collapse upon properties such as horizontal saturated hydraulic conductivity (Kh), and thus lateral drainage, remain poorly understood. We made laboratory determinations of Kh from 82 peat samples from a degrading Swedish palsa mire. We fitted a linear mixed‐effects model (LMM) to establish the controls on Kh, which declined strongly with increasing depth, humification and dry bulk density. Depth exerted the strongest control on Kh in our LMM, which demonstrated strong predictive performance (r2 = 0.605). Humification and dry bulk density were influential predictors, but the high collinearity of these two variables meant only one could be included reliably in our LMM. Surprisingly, peat Kh did not differ significantly between desiccating and collapsed palsas. We compared our site‐specific LMM to an existing, multi‐site model, fitted primarily to boreal and temperate peatlands. The multi‐site model made less skillful predictions (r2 = 0.528) than our site‐specific model, possibly due to latitudinal differences in peat compaction, floristic composition and climate. Nonetheless, low bias means the multi‐site model may still be useful for estimating peat Kh at high latitudes. Permafrost peatlands remain underrepresented in multi‐site models of peat hydraulic properties, and measurements such as ours could be used to improve future iterations. Key Points Depth and humification are important controls for horizontal saturated hydraulic conductivity in a degrading Swedish palsa complex Peat hydraulic properties did not significantly differ between desiccating and collapsed areas of the palsa complex An existing model, trained on lower‐latitude peatlands, predicted horizontal saturated hydraulic conductivity adequately, with low bias