Initial preference algorithm of industrial project portfolio

PurposeThis paper aims to develop an algorithm to pretest an industrial portfolio on a new scale. Portfolios include complex and uncertain projects at the front-end phase. The study, therefore, proposes a procedure that helps decision-makers to handle various complex projects and defines a common sc...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Kybernetes 2023-11, Vol.52 (12), p.6025-6048
Main Authors: Cihan, Ercan Emin, Alabaş-Uslu, Çiğdem, Kabak, Özgür
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Algorithms
Complexity
Contingency
Criteria
Decision making
Decision theory
Literature reviews
Portfolio management
Preferences
R&D
Research & development
Risk
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Summary:PurposeThis paper aims to develop an algorithm to pretest an industrial portfolio on a new scale. Portfolios include complex and uncertain projects at the front-end phase. The study, therefore, proposes a procedure that helps decision-makers to handle various complex projects and defines a common scale applicable to various kinds of industrial projects.Design/methodology/approachDecision-makers can employ the preference algorithm to reach a common understanding. To this end, the current paper posits the organization of criteria in various project sets. A sexagesimal scale is developed based on project complexity and its ability to achieve broad impact, both these factors being gauged on a five-point scale of user-friendly numberings.FindingsThe proposed algorithm shows the equivalence of industrial projects in different fields. Also, the algorithm articulates the status in terms of uncertainty, complexity, risk, and value of projects. The connections between decision-makers and criteria operate on the basis of the foreseen complexity, risk, and value. It can be said that this study exemplifies and visualizes the portfolio and criteria relationship.Research limitations/implicationsThe procedure covers contingency exercises at the front-end phase of a portfolio and supports decisions. However, updated information can change support positions.Originality/valueThe paper presents original scoring guidance for portfolio complexity on a new scale. The scaling and scoring are adjustable and calibrated using the proposed sexagesimal system. It presents an original classification of project risk and value. The main contribution is the presented algorithm which can be used to pretest industrial portfolios composed of projects that vary in both size and context.
ISSN:0368-492X
1758-7883
DOI:10.1108/K-04-2022-0644