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Spending Less after (Seemingly) Bad News
ABSTRACT Using high‐frequency spending data, we show that household consumption displays excess sensitivity to salient macroeconomic news, even when the news is not real. When the announced local unemployment rate reaches a 12‐month maximum, local news coverage of unemployment increases and local co...
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Published in: | The Journal of finance (New York) 2024-08, Vol.79 (4), p.2429-2471 |
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container_title | The Journal of finance (New York) |
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creator | GARMAISE, MARK J. LEVI, YARON LUSTIG, HANNO |
description | ABSTRACT
Using high‐frequency spending data, we show that household consumption displays excess sensitivity to salient macroeconomic news, even when the news is not real. When the announced local unemployment rate reaches a 12‐month maximum, local news coverage of unemployment increases and local consumers reduce their discretionary spending by 1.5% relative to consumers in areas with the same macroeconomic conditions. Low‐income households display greater excess sensitivity to salience. The decrease in spending is not later reversed. Households in treated areas act as if they are more financially constrained than those in untreated areas with the same fundamentals. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1111/jofi.13325 |
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Using high‐frequency spending data, we show that household consumption displays excess sensitivity to salient macroeconomic news, even when the news is not real. When the announced local unemployment rate reaches a 12‐month maximum, local news coverage of unemployment increases and local consumers reduce their discretionary spending by 1.5% relative to consumers in areas with the same macroeconomic conditions. Low‐income households display greater excess sensitivity to salience. The decrease in spending is not later reversed. Households in treated areas act as if they are more financially constrained than those in untreated areas with the same fundamentals.</description><subject>Consumer spending</subject><subject>Consumers</subject><subject>Expenditures</subject><subject>Households</subject><subject>Macroeconomics</subject><subject>Media coverage</subject><subject>Unemployment</subject><issn>0022-1082</issn><issn>1540-6261</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2024</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>8BJ</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kE1Lw0AQhhdRMFYv_oKAlyqkzuxX06OWVivBHqrnZTeZSErb1N2Wkn9vYjz7XmYYnpmBh7FbhBG2eVzXZTVCIbg6YxEqCYnmGs9ZBMB5gpDyS3YVwhq6KBWx4WpPu6LafcUZhRDb8kA-Hq6Itu1s09zHz7aI3-kUrtlFaTeBbv7qgH3OZx_T1yRbviymT1mSCwUqSQn4mFzpgDvlxtLylBxXnDQvislE51oILdpWoNRoda5gYlOHBchCOlRiwO76u3tffx8pHMy6Pvpd-9IISFEKPZYd9dBTua9D8FSava-21jcGwXQmTGfC_JpoYezhU7Wh5h_SvC3ni37nB5FDXWE</recordid><startdate>202408</startdate><enddate>202408</enddate><creator>GARMAISE, MARK J.</creator><creator>LEVI, YARON</creator><creator>LUSTIG, HANNO</creator><general>Blackwell Publishers Inc</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>8BJ</scope><scope>FQK</scope><scope>JBE</scope></search><sort><creationdate>202408</creationdate><title>Spending Less after (Seemingly) Bad News</title><author>GARMAISE, MARK J. ; LEVI, YARON ; LUSTIG, HANNO</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c3505-8e027ebfb02b5b74a28eb252e62dd996c63363dd931461a6c509a8b1d04d4b153</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2024</creationdate><topic>Consumer spending</topic><topic>Consumers</topic><topic>Expenditures</topic><topic>Households</topic><topic>Macroeconomics</topic><topic>Media coverage</topic><topic>Unemployment</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>GARMAISE, MARK J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>LEVI, YARON</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>LUSTIG, HANNO</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS)</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><jtitle>The Journal of finance (New York)</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>GARMAISE, MARK J.</au><au>LEVI, YARON</au><au>LUSTIG, HANNO</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Spending Less after (Seemingly) Bad News</atitle><jtitle>The Journal of finance (New York)</jtitle><date>2024-08</date><risdate>2024</risdate><volume>79</volume><issue>4</issue><spage>2429</spage><epage>2471</epage><pages>2429-2471</pages><issn>0022-1082</issn><eissn>1540-6261</eissn><abstract>ABSTRACT
Using high‐frequency spending data, we show that household consumption displays excess sensitivity to salient macroeconomic news, even when the news is not real. When the announced local unemployment rate reaches a 12‐month maximum, local news coverage of unemployment increases and local consumers reduce their discretionary spending by 1.5% relative to consumers in areas with the same macroeconomic conditions. Low‐income households display greater excess sensitivity to salience. The decrease in spending is not later reversed. Households in treated areas act as if they are more financially constrained than those in untreated areas with the same fundamentals.</abstract><cop>Cambridge</cop><pub>Blackwell Publishers Inc</pub><doi>10.1111/jofi.13325</doi><tpages>43</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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source | International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS); Wiley-Blackwell Read & Publish Collection |
subjects | Consumer spending Consumers Expenditures Households Macroeconomics Media coverage Unemployment |
title | Spending Less after (Seemingly) Bad News |
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