Enhancing business and technology foresight with electronically mediated scenario process

Purpose - The study discusses existing scenario methods in business and technology foresight and introduces electronically mediated scenario process in two varieties. The purpose of the study is to discuss the existing practice, position the IDEAS and SAGES methods, and outline their contribution to...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published in:Foresight (Cambridge) 2010-01, Vol.12 (2), p.16-37
Main Authors: Piirainen, Kalle, Lindqvist, Antti
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Conferencing
Forecasting
Futures
Group decision support systems
Industry analysis
Innovations
Methods
Organizational planning
Project planning
Schools
Studies
Technological change
Citations: Items that this one cites
Items that cite this one
Online Access:Get full text
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Description
Summary:Purpose - The study discusses existing scenario methods in business and technology foresight and introduces electronically mediated scenario process in two varieties. The purpose of the study is to discuss the existing practice, position the IDEAS and SAGES methods, and outline their contribution to the state of the art.Design methodology approach - The paper takes the form of a literature study and conceptual discussion, illustrated with a case example of electronically mediated scenario methods.Findings - Both of the presented scenario methods, i.e. IDEAS and SAGES, are feasible means to compose scenarios. The methods can be positioned respectively to intuitive-logical and heuristic schools of thought. The contribution to existing practice is that they consume fewer resources than do their more traditional counterparts.Research limitations implications - The empirical validation of the presented methods is presently limited to case studies. Thus, the authors invite practitioners and researchers to examine the methods and to discuss the applicability of the results.Practical implications - The IDEAS and SAGES methods offer tools for practicing managers to conduct scenario planning with practitioners and experts in a flexible and effective manner.Originality value - The paper adds to the ongoing discussion on business and technology foresight by presenting the novel scenario methods, and positioning them explicitly to the existing practice.
ISSN:1463-6689
1465-9832
DOI:10.1108/14636681011035735