Quantification of the urban heat island under a changing climate over Anatolian Peninsula

The Anatolian Peninsula is located at the confluence of Europe, Asia, and Africa and houses 81 cities of which 79 of them have population over 100,000. We employed some criteria to select the cities from the 81 cities. After accomplishing all the criteria, eight cities were remaining for the study....

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Theoretical and applied climatology 2012-04, Vol.108 (1-2), p.31-38
Main Authors: Ozdemir, Huseyin, Unal, Alper, Kindap, Tayfun, Turuncoglu, Ufuk Utku, Durmusoglu, Zeynep Okay, Khan, Maudood, Tayanc, Mete, Karaca, Mehmet
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Analysis
Aquatic Pollution
Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution
Atmospheric Sciences
Cities
Climate change
Climate models
Climatology
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
Global temperature changes
Meteorology
Original Paper
Rural areas
Statistical analysis
Temperature
Urban areas
Urban climatology
Urban heat islands
Waste Water Technology
Water Management
Water Pollution Control
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Summary:The Anatolian Peninsula is located at the confluence of Europe, Asia, and Africa and houses 81 cities of which 79 of them have population over 100,000. We employed some criteria to select the cities from the 81 cities. After accomplishing all the criteria, eight cities were remaining for the study. Nonparametric Mann–Kendall test procedure was employed for the urban and rural stations of these cities to detect the long-term change in temperature trends. Statistical analysis of daily minimum temperatures for the period between 1965 and 2006 suggest that there is no statistically significant increase in rural areas. In contrast to the findings of the previous studies, however, all the urban sites and difference between urban and rural pairs show significant increase in temperatures, a strong indication for the existence of urban heat island (UHI) affect over the region. Regional Climate Model was also utilized to assess the changes in temperature by the end of century for the region. The findings suggest that an increase of up to 5°C is possible. Climate change effects enforced with UHI have the potential to cause serious problems for the entire region and hence needs to be studied thoroughly.
ISSN:0177-798X
1434-4483
DOI:10.1007/s00704-011-0515-8