Use of Bayesian belief networks for dealing with ambiguity in integrated groundwater management

In integrated groundwater management, different knowledge frames and uncertainties need to be communicated and handled explicitly. This is necessary in order to select efficient adaptive groundwater management strategies. In this connection, Bayesian belief networks allow for integration of knowledg...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Integrated environmental assessment and management 2012-07, Vol.8 (3), p.430-444
Main Authors: Henriksen, Hans Jørgen, Zorrilla-Miras, Pedro, de la Hera, Africa, Brugnach, Marcella
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Adaptive groundwater management
Ambiguity
Basins
Bayes Theorem
Bayesian belief networks
Belief networks
Communication
Decision Making
Groundwater
Groundwater - analysis
Groundwater management
Group model building
Guadiana
Knowledge
Models, Theoretical
Natural resource management
Rivers
Spain
Uncertainty
Water Supply
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Summary:In integrated groundwater management, different knowledge frames and uncertainties need to be communicated and handled explicitly. This is necessary in order to select efficient adaptive groundwater management strategies. In this connection, Bayesian belief networks allow for integration of knowledge, for engaging stakeholders and for dealing with multiple knowledge frame uncertainties. This is illustrated for the case of the Upper Guadiana Basin, Spain, where Bayesian belief networks with stakeholder involvement were used for dealing with the ambiguities related to sustainable groundwater exploitation. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2012; 8: 430–444. © SETAC
ISSN:1551-3777
1551-3793
DOI:10.1002/ieam.195