Epidemiology of Kawasaki Disease: Prevalence from National Database and Future Trends Projection by System Dynamics Modeling

Objective To update the epidemiologic trend in Kawasaki disease (KD) and develop models for projection. Study design From our national databases 2000-2010 and previous studies, we obtained the epidemiologic data to develop and validate system dynamics models. Population model incorporated birth rate...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:The Journal of pediatrics 2013-07, Vol.163 (1), p.126-131.e1
Main Authors: Huang, San-Kuei, MD, Lin, Min-Tai, MD, PhD, Chen, Hui-Chi, PhD, Huang, Shin-Chung, MD, Wu, Mei-Hwan, MD, PhD
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Adolescent
Adult
at-risk population
birth rate
Child
Child, Preschool
Databases, Factual
epidemiology
Forecasting
Humans
Infant
Models, Statistical
monitoring
mortality
Mucocutaneous Lymph Node Syndrome - epidemiology
patients
Pediatrics
people
Prevalence
risk
simulation models
Taiwan - epidemiology
Young Adult
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Summary:Objective To update the epidemiologic trend in Kawasaki disease (KD) and develop models for projection. Study design From our national databases 2000-2010 and previous studies, we obtained the epidemiologic data to develop and validate system dynamics models. Population model incorporated birth rate and mortality. KD model incorporated the population at risk, incidence, and risk of coronary complications. Results The average annual incidence in age group
ISSN:0022-3476
1097-6833
DOI:10.1016/j.jpeds.2012.12.011