Numerical study of the atmospheric composition in Bulgaria

• Published in: Computers & mathematics with applications (1987) 2013-02, Vol.65 (3), p.402-422
• Main Authors: Gadzhev, Georgi K., Ganev, Kostadin G., Miloshev, Nikolay G., Syrakov, Dimiter E., Prodanova, Maria
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Air pollution modeling; Atmospheric composition; Emission scenarios; Multi-scale modeling; US EPA models-3 system
• ISSN: 0898-1221; 1873-7668
• DOI: 10.1016/j.camwa.2012.07.002

The present work aims at studying the local to regional atmospheric pollution transport and transformation processes over Bulgaria and at tracking and characterizing the main pathways and processes that lead to atmospheric composition formation in the region. The US EPA Models-3 system is chosen as a modeling tool. As the NCEP Global Analysis Data with 1 degree resolution is used as meteorological background, the MM5 and CMAQ nesting capabilities are applied for downscaling the simulations to a 9 km resolution over Balkans and 3 km over Bulgaria. The TNO emission inventory is used as emission input. Special pre-processing procedures are created for introducing temporal profiles and speciation of the emissions. The study is based on a large number of numerical simulations carried out day by day for the years 2000–2007 and four emission scenarios—with all the emissions and with biogenic emissions, emissions from energetics and road transport excluded. Results from the numerical simulations concerning the main features of the atmospheric composition in Bulgaria and the contribution of the different emission categories are demonstrated in the paper. Some results from the CMAQ “Integrated Process Rate Analysis” are also given.