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LIAR'S LOAN? EFFECTS OF ORIGINATION CHANNEL AND INFORMATION FALSIFICATION ON MORTGAGE DELINQUENCY

This paper presents an analysis of mortgage delinquency between 2004 and 2008 using a loan-level data set from a major national mortgage bank. Our analysis highlights two problems underlying the mortgage crisis: a reliance on mortgage brokers who tend to originate lowerquality loans and a prevalence...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:The review of economics and statistics 2014-03, Vol.96 (1), p.1-18
Main Authors: Jiang, Wei, Nelson, Ashlyn Aiko, Vytlacil, Edward
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:This paper presents an analysis of mortgage delinquency between 2004 and 2008 using a loan-level data set from a major national mortgage bank. Our analysis highlights two problems underlying the mortgage crisis: a reliance on mortgage brokers who tend to originate lowerquality loans and a prevalence of low-documentation loans—known in the industry as "liar's loans"—that result in borrower information falsification. While over three-quarters of the difference in delinquency rates between bank and broker channels can be attributed to observable loan and borrower characteristics, the delinquency difference between full-and low-documentation mortgages is due to unobservable heterogeneity, about half of it potentially due to income falsification.
ISSN:0034-6535
1530-9142
DOI:10.1162/REST_a_00387