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Revealing mutual influence of oscillatory systems from the observation data

In different fields of physical research, we often meet the problem of distinguishing between bidirectional and unidirectional couplings of oscillatory systems, i.e., mutual influence and one-way influence, on the basis of the observed time series. In this work, it is shown that a widely used approa...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Radiophysics and quantum electronics 2013-03, Vol.55 (10-11), p.662-675
Main Authors: Smirnov, D. A., Bezruchko, B. P.
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:In different fields of physical research, we often meet the problem of distinguishing between bidirectional and unidirectional couplings of oscillatory systems, i.e., mutual influence and one-way influence, on the basis of the observed time series. In this work, it is shown that a widely used approach, based on the calculation of prediction errors of empirical models (Granger causality), may give spurious conclusions on bidirectional coupling if a sampling interval exceeds a certain intrinsic time scale of the studied systems. Taking this effect into account, we propose and illustrate by standard examples a statistical test which allows one to reveal bidirectional coupling with specified confidence probability.
ISSN:0033-8443
1573-9120
DOI:10.1007/s11141-013-9404-6