Dynamic and thermodynamic changes in mean and extreme precipitation under changed climate

Extreme precipitation has been projected to increase more than the mean under future changed climate, but its mechanism is not clear. We have separated the ‘dynamic’ and ‘thermodynamic’ components of the mean and extreme precipitation changes projected in 6 climate model experiments. The dynamic cha...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published in:Geophysical research letters 2005-09, Vol.32 (17), p.L17706.1-n/a
Main Authors: Emori, S., Brown, S. J.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Atmospheric moisture
Climate
Dynamics
Earth sciences
Earth, ocean, space
Exact sciences and technology
Extreme values
Geophysics
Latitude
Precipitation
Thermodynamics
Citations: Items that this one cites
Items that cite this one
Online Access:Get full text
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Description
Summary:Extreme precipitation has been projected to increase more than the mean under future changed climate, but its mechanism is not clear. We have separated the ‘dynamic’ and ‘thermodynamic’ components of the mean and extreme precipitation changes projected in 6 climate model experiments. The dynamic change is due to the change in atmospheric motion, while the thermodynamic change is due to the change in atmospheric moisture content. The model results consistently show that there are areas with small change or decreases in the thermodynamic change for mean precipitation mainly over subtropics, while the thermodynamic change for extreme precipitation is an overall increase as a result of increased atmospheric moisture. The dynamic changes play a secondary role in the difference between mean and extreme and are limited to lower latitudes. Over many parts of mid‐ to high latitudes, mean and extreme precipitation increase in comparable magnitude due to a comparable thermodynamic increase.
ISSN:0094-8276
1944-8007
DOI:10.1029/2005GL023272