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Demand and Defective Growth Patterns: The Role of The Tradable and Non-Tradable Sectors in an Open Economy

This paper examines the underlying structural elements of US growth patterns, pre- and post-crisis. Prior to the recession, the US economy exhibited a defective growth pattern driven by outsized domestic demand. As domestic aggregate demand retreats to more sustainable levels relative to total incom...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:The American economic review 2014-05, Vol.104 (5), p.272-277
Main Authors: Hlatshwayo, Sandile, Spence, Michael
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:This paper examines the underlying structural elements of US growth patterns, pre- and post-crisis. Prior to the recession, the US economy exhibited a defective growth pattern driven by outsized domestic demand. As domestic aggregate demand retreats to more sustainable levels relative to total income, the tradable side of the economy is a catalyst for restoring strong growth. A structural rebalancing is already underway; although it is only a third of the economy, the tradable sector generated more than half of gross gains in value-added since the start of the recovery. However, distributional issues loom on the horizon.
ISSN:0002-8282
1944-7981
DOI:10.1257/aer.104.5.272