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Is the investment factor a proxy for time-varying investment opportunities? The US and international evidence
Motivated from Fama’s (1991) conjecture of an explicit link between the cross-sectional and time-series stock return predictability, we investigate whether the investment factor constructed from the cross-section of stocks also has time-series predictive power for stock returns within Merton’s (1973...
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Published in: | Journal of banking & finance 2014-07, Vol.44, p.219-232 |
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container_title | Journal of banking & finance |
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creator | Huang, Lin Wang, Zijun |
description | Motivated from Fama’s (1991) conjecture of an explicit link between the cross-sectional and time-series stock return predictability, we investigate whether the investment factor constructed from the cross-section of stocks also has time-series predictive power for stock returns within Merton’s (1973) ICAPM framework. The evidence from both US and other G-7 countries (except Japan) suggests that the investment factor is a proxy for time-varying investment opportunities. We also find that the risk-return relation is positive and statistically significant after controlling for the covariance between the market factor and the investment factor. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.04.016 |
format | article |
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subjects | Cross-sectional analysis Forecasts GARCH ICAPM International Investment Investment factor Investment opportunities Investments MIDAS Predictions Rates of return Risk management Statistical analysis Stock returns Studies Time series U.S.A |
title | Is the investment factor a proxy for time-varying investment opportunities? The US and international evidence |
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