Rice Production, Trade and the Poor: Regional Effects of Rice Export Policy on Households in Vietnam

Analysing Vietnam's rice export policy and recent export ban in the context of rising food prices, this study combines insights from a regionally‐disaggregated or ‘bottom‐up’ CGE model and a micro‐simulation using household data. Three main conclusions are drawn. First, although there is little...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of agricultural economics 2015-06, Vol.66 (2), p.280-307
Main Authors: Ha, Pham Van, Nguyen, Hoa Thi Minh, Kompas, Tom, Che, Tuong Nhu, Trinh, Bui
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Export policy
Food policy
Free trade
Gross domestic product
Households
Market
micro-simulation
regional 'bottom up' CGE model
rice production
Simulation
Trade
trade and welfare
Vietnam
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Summary:Analysing Vietnam's rice export policy and recent export ban in the context of rising food prices, this study combines insights from a regionally‐disaggregated or ‘bottom‐up’ CGE model and a micro‐simulation using household data. Three main conclusions are drawn. First, although there is little impact on GDP, there are substantial distributional impacts across regions and households from different export policies and market conditions. Second, both rural and urban households, including poor households, benefit from free trade, even though domestic rice prices are higher. Finally, under free trade, relatively large gains accrue to rural households, where poverty is most pervasive in Vietnam.
ISSN:0021-857X
1477-9552
DOI:10.1111/1477-9552.12087