A Reverse J-Shaped Association Between Serum 25-Hydroxyvitamin D and Cardiovascular Disease Mortality: The CopD Study

• Published in: The journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism 2015-06, Vol.100 (6), p.2339-2346
• Main Authors: Durup, Darshana, Jørgensen, Henrik Løvendahl, Christensen, Jane, Tjønneland, Anne, Olsen, Anja, Halkjær, Jytte, Lind, Bent, Heegaard, Anne-Marie, Schwarz, Peter
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Adult; Aged; Cardiovascular Diseases - mortality; Cause of Death; Denmark - epidemiology; Female; Follow-Up Studies; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Myocardial Infarction - blood; Myocardial Infarction - mortality; Stroke - blood; Stroke - mortality; Vitamin D - analogs & derivatives; Vitamin D - blood; Vitamin D Deficiency - blood; Vitamin D Deficiency - epidemiology
• ISSN: 0021-972X; 1945-7197
• DOI: 10.1210/jc.2014-4551

Context: Cardiovascular disease is the major cause of death in the Western world, but the association between 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] levels and the risk of cardiovascular disease mortality remains unclear. Objective: The objective of the study was to determine the association between cardiovascular, stroke, and acute myocardial infarct mortality and serum levels of 25(OH)D. Design: This was an observational cohort study, the Copenhagen vitamin D study, data from a single laboratory center in Copenhagen, Denmark. Follow-up was from 2004 to 2011. Setting: Serum 25(OH)D was analyzed from 247 574 subjects from the Copenhagen general practice sector. Participants: Examination of the association 25(OH)D levels and mortality from cardiovascular disease, stroke, and acute myocardial infarct was performed among 161 428 women and 86 146 men. Main Outcome Measures: A multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to compute hazard ratios for cardiovascular, stroke, and acute myocardial infarct mortality. Results: Of 247 574 subjects, a total of 16 645 subjects died in the ensuing 0–7 years. A total of 5454 died from cardiovascular disease including 1574 from stroke and 702 from acute myocardial infarct. The 25(OH)D level of 70 nmol/L was associated with the lowest cardiovascular disease mortality risk. Compared with that level, the hazard ratio for cardiovascular disease mortality was 2.0 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.8–2.1] at the lower extreme (∼12.5 nmol/L) with a higher risk for men [2.5 (95% CI 2.2–2.9)] than for women [1.7 (95% CI 1.5–1.9)]. At the higher extreme (∼125 nmol/L), the hazard ratio of cardiovascular disease mortality was 1.3 (95% CI 1.2–1.4), with a similar risk among men and women. Results were similar for stroke and acute myocardial subgroups. Conclusions: In this large observational study, low and high levels of 25(OH)D were associated with cardiovascular disease, stroke, and acute myocardial mortality in a nonlinear, reverse J-shaped manner, with the highest risk at lower levels. Whether this was a causal or associational finding cannot be determined from our data. There is a need for randomized clinical trials that include information on the effects of 25(OH)D levels greater than 100 nmol/L.