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Regional Risk Assessment addressing the impacts of climate change in the coastal area of the Gulf of Gabes (Tunisia)

Sound, cost efficient management strategies in developed coastal zones can be reinforced by a thorough understanding of risks associated with the combination of anthropogenic and natural drivers of change. A Regional Risk Assessment (RRA) methodology was developed for the assessment of the potential...

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Published in:Sustainability science 2016-05, Vol.11 (3), p.455-476
Main Authors: Rizzi, Jonathan, Gallina, Valentina, Torresan, Silvia, Critto, Andrea, Gana, Slim, Marcomini, Antonio
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description Sound, cost efficient management strategies in developed coastal zones can be reinforced by a thorough understanding of risks associated with the combination of anthropogenic and natural drivers of change. A Regional Risk Assessment (RRA) methodology was developed for the assessment of the potential impacts of climate change in the Tunisian coastal zone of the Gulf of Gabes. It is based on the use of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis techniques and Geographic Information Systems and is designed to support the development and prioritization of adaptation strategies. The RRA focuses on sea-level rise and storm surge flooding impacts for human and natural systems, i.e., beaches, wetlands, urban areas, agricultural areas, and terrestrial ecosystems. Results suggest that for both of the studied climate change impacts, i.e., sea-level rise and storm surge flooding, the area potentially exposed is limited to a narrow, low elevation region adjacent to the shoreline. However, the exposed areas showed a high relative risk score, obtained by the integration of exposure and susceptibility factors. Beaches have the lowest relative risk scores, while wetlands and terrestrial ecosystems have the higher relative risk scores. The final outputs of the analysis (i.e., exposure, susceptibility, and risk maps) can support end-users in the establishment of relative priorities for intervention and in the identification of suitable areas for human settlements, infrastructure, and economic activities, thus providing a basis for coastal zoning and land-use planning.
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subjects Adaption
Analysis
Anthropogenic factors
Aquatic ecosystems
Beaches
Case studies
Climate change
Climate Change Management and Policy
Climate Change Mitigation
Coastal erosion
Coastal zone
Coastal zone management
Coasts
Cultural heritage
Earth and Environmental Science
Environment
Environmental Economics
Environmental impact
Environmental Management
Environmental protection
Flooding
Geographic information systems
Human settlements
Information systems
Land use planning
Landscape Ecology
Multiple criteria decision making
Original Article
Public Health
Remote sensing
Resilience
Risk assessment
Sea level
Shoreline protection
Soil erosion
Storm surges
Studies
Sustainable Development
Terrestrial ecosystems
Tidal waves
Tourism
Tourism development
Urban agriculture
Urban areas
Wetlands
title Regional Risk Assessment addressing the impacts of climate change in the coastal area of the Gulf of Gabes (Tunisia)
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