A tale of two California droughts: Lessons amidst record warmth and dryness in a region of complex physical and human geography

The state of California has experienced the worst drought in its historical record during 2012–2015. Adverse effects of this multiyear event have been far from uniformly distributed across the region, ranging from remarkably mild in most of California's densely populated coastal cities to very...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Geophysical research letters 2015-11, Vol.42 (22), p.9999-10,003
Main Author: Swain, Daniel L.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Anthropogenic factors
California drought
Climate
Climate change
Climate system
climate variability and change
Drought
drought impacts
Droughts
El Nino
Environmental risk
Flooding
Geography
Geophysics
global warming
Historic
Meteorology
Ocean temperature
Pacific Ocean
Population density
ridiculously resilient ridge
Risk
Wildfires
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Summary:The state of California has experienced the worst drought in its historical record during 2012–2015. Adverse effects of this multiyear event have been far from uniformly distributed across the region, ranging from remarkably mild in most of California's densely populated coastal cities to very severe in more rural, agricultural, and wildfire‐prone regions. This duality of impacts has created a tale of two very different California droughts—highlighting enhanced susceptibility to climate stresses at the environmental and socioeconomic margins of California. From a geophysical perspective, the persistence of related atmospheric anomalies has raised a number of questions regarding the drought's origins—including the role of anthropogenic climate change. Recent investigations underscore the importance of understanding the underlying physical causes of extremes in the climate system, and the present California drought represents an excellent case study for such endeavors. Meanwhile, a powerful El Niño event in the Pacific Ocean offers the simultaneous prospect of partial drought relief but also an increased risk of flooding during the 2015–2016 winter—a situation illustrative of the complex hydroclimatic risks California and other regions are likely to face in a warming world. Key Points California has experienced the worst drought in its historical record during 2012–2015 Effects of this event have been relatively mild in some sectors but very severe others El Niño presents the simultaneous prospect of drought relief but also an increased risk of flooding
ISSN:0094-8276
1944-8007
DOI:10.1002/2015GL066628