Comprehensive Evaluation Model of Debris Flow Risk in Hydropower Projects

Debris flow risk in hydropower project is influenced by many factors such as own characteristics of debris flow, the scale and importance of hydropower project. It is a multi-index comprehensive evaluation problem for debris flow risk. According to the features on debris flow risk in hydropower proj...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Water resources management 2016-02, Vol.30 (3), p.1151-1163
Main Authors: Su, Huaizhi, Yang, Meng, Kang, Yeyuan
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Atmospheric Sciences
base flow
Civil Engineering
Classification
Cognition & reasoning
Construction
Debris
Debris flow
Detritus
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
Engineering
Environment
Evaluation
Fuzzy logic
Geology
Geomorphology
Geotechnical Engineering & Applied Earth Sciences
Hydroelectric plants
Hydroelectric power
Hydrogeology
Hydrology/Water Resources
Information science
Mathematical models
Mathematics
Optimization
Reasoning
Risk
Sediments
Studies
Topography
Uncertainty
Vegetation
water power
Water resources
Water resources management
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Summary:Debris flow risk in hydropower project is influenced by many factors such as own characteristics of debris flow, the scale and importance of hydropower project. It is a multi-index comprehensive evaluation problem for debris flow risk. According to the features on debris flow risk in hydropower project, the case-based reasoning method and fuzzy optimal recognition method are adopted to build the evaluation model for debris flow risk. Firstly, an evaluation index system of debris flow risk, which can describe the multiple influence factors on debris flow risk in hydropower project, is proposed. Based on the historical debris flow data, a typical debris flow base is established. Secondly, considering the uncertainty of debris flow in hydropower project, two evaluation models of debris flow risk, namely case-based reasoning model and fuzzy optimal recognition model, are established. Lastly, the two models are used to analyze and evaluate the debris flow risk in one actual hydropower project. The capabilities of two models are compared. It is indicated that the proposed models are suitable to be used to implement the comprehensive evaluation of debris flow risk in hydropower projects.
ISSN:0920-4741
1573-1650
DOI:10.1007/s11269-015-1217-2