Integrated modeling of food security management in Ukraine. II. Models for structural optimization of agricultural production under risk

An aggregate mathematical model for country-wide agricultural production is proposed. It allows analyzing various scenarios of crop and livestock production in terms of food security. We developed a mathematical model of agricultural holdings, taking into account weather and economic risks. The mode...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Cybernetics and systems analysis 2013-03, Vol.49 (2), p.217-228
Main Authors: Golodnikov, A. N., Ermol’ev, Yu. M., Ermol’eva, T. Yu, Knopov, P. S., Pepelyaev, V. A.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Agricultural industry
Agricultural management
Agricultural production
Agriculture
Agronomy
Artificial Intelligence
Borrowing
Cattle
Control
Crop insurance
Crops
Cybernetics
Economic theory
Economics
Feeds
Food security
Food supply
Foods
International economic relations
Livestock
Mathematical analysis
Mathematical models
Mathematics
Mathematics and Statistics
Optimization
Poultry
Processor Architectures
Profitability
Proteins
Random variables
Risk
Security
Security management
Software Engineering/Programming and Operating Systems
Studies
Systems Analysis
Systems Theory
Weather
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Summary:An aggregate mathematical model for country-wide agricultural production is proposed. It allows analyzing various scenarios of crop and livestock production in terms of food security. We developed a mathematical model of agricultural holdings, taking into account weather and economic risks. The model incorporates various factors such as crop insurance, credit terms, and uncertain prices for agricultural products.
ISSN:1060-0396
1573-8337
DOI:10.1007/s10559-013-9503-6